Skip to main content

Half Empty, Half Full- a look into issues...

nazia hussain

Helping Fragile States-the Practitioner's Perspective

By nazia hussain - 11 months ago

 

Fragile/failing states, those places where economies are a mess, institutions and governance are poor, and non state actors have the propensity to challenge the state, and create instability, have attracted attention of policy makers for some time now. Increasingly, there seems to be a consensus on the dangers posed by transnational threats emerging from the world's most poorly governed countries to world security.

These countries represent serious concerns of humanitarian catastrophes; mass migration; environmental degradation; regional instability; energy insecurity; global pandemics; international crime; the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD); and transnational terrorism.

 The growing concern with weak and failing states is based on the thesis that traditional concepts of security such as interstate violence should expand to encompass cross border threats driven by non state variables as terrorism, crime, or pandemics; and that such threats have their origins in large measure in weak governance in the developing world. The other premise of this new security paradigm rests on the contention that violent emergencies spill over the borders of failing/failed states thereby destabilizing regions.

 To that end, it is always useful and worth a look to see what policy makers and practitioners are thinking or doing about fragile states. Earlier this year, a conference was co-convened by Switzerland, the United Nations, the OECD, the World Bank and NATO.

The conference hosted 40 countries and 250 decision makers that included members of the diplomatic, development, justice and trade communities and who discussed experiences from Afghanistan, Haiti, Liberia and Sudan. Their aim was to find ways to improve effectiveness of their support for security, development and peace building efforts.

The effort to bring forth an agenda of change for fragile states is not the first one, but its ripple effects will in some measure or scintilla of a measure translate to policy. That is why it would not be a waste to skim through the main findings of the conference report based on recommendations for future course of action regarding fragile states.

 For our purposes, the key findings are as follows:

Replace donor visibility with visibility for the partner country government- meaning that the national government of the fragile country will be facilitated not dictated and its limited financial and human resources taken in consideration.

Knowing the nuts and bolts of processes within the UN, the World Bank and other key donors will enhance the probability that a partner country can take the lead. Leadership by the partner country is absolutely critical, and is rewarded by more coherent, coordinated and complementary actions by the international community.

Complement the internationally recognized objectives of peace building and state building with the third component of economic growth- i.e, focus on economic growth, investing in private sector etc.

Donors need to commit multi-year funding and undertake, if necessary, the required institutional changes to allow for such funding- donors please stay longer than five years.

3C requires a behavioural shift-i.e, coherent, coordinated and complementary actions needed and to be rewarded by governments, so that conflicting interests in fragile situations are harmonized for better results.

Strengthen consensus-oriented decision making and political pluralism as part of the "cultural" change required for sustainable peace building. i.e- Democracy and economic empowerment still rock! Although, looking for and building capacities for conflict management, both traditional and formal is also a goal.

Capacity building should focus on middle-level planning and operational capacities-Hence, for example, prioritise police over military capacity building, as police is close to communities and can earn the trust of population.

This is all fantastic stuff really, and displays lots of hard work, good will, and hope to bring about changes in fragile states. It seems to rest on the premise though that such states can be reformed and corrupt systems over hauled. It is a grand experiment in development, and it has its critics and supporters. There are those who think change can only come from within and that it's a fool's dream to institute massive changes. There are others who see no other way but to fix these states so that threats are no longer posed to global security.

Maybe it is very easy to take broad swipes on either side. It certainly is counter productive, as neither attempts to institute grand changes in foreign lands have worked as yet, nor leaving fragile states to their misery has made the world safer. Perhaps the way forward is to have realistic goals, doable tasks, and clear evaluation benchmarks that measure successes and failures. Either way, the agenda of 'fixing' fragile states is on the table for what seems like a pretty long period of time.

 

 

Article Rating

Average: No Rating Available (0 votes)  

8 Comments

 
Michael Busch Michael Busch - 11 months ago

Hi Nazia, very interesting post.  Thanks for bringing the conference and its findings to our attention.  I am curious about your shift of terminology from the beginning of the post to the end.  At the start, you discuss failed/failing states, but later switch to a discussion of fragile states.  It seems to me that for the latter, your discussion of the recommendations above is spot-on. 

But what about those failed states?  Do the recommendations still make sense, or is it an entirely different problem.  The report highlights Afghanistan and Haiti as "fragile states," and I wonder if this is only the case (if at all) because of the international security presence of American/NATO troops in Afghanistan and UN peacekeepers in Haiti.  What do you think: is intervention for the purpose of securing--no matter how fleetingly--failing or failed states and hoping that they can reach a "fragile" threshold a good idea, or does it only bring more problems?  If its the latter, then where does the "international community" go from here in cases like Somalia, where I think the argument can be made that labelling it a nation-state would be an overly generous act. 


 
nazia hussain nazia hussain - 11 months ago

Hi Michael, thank you for your really useful comment. The shift of terminology is really an oversight, I should kick out the term 'failed state' out of the equation. Thanks for bringing that to attention. Conceptually, I would think that fragile states deteriorate to turn into failing states that later become failed states? Except, it all seems a nice concept, but its application seems to be a bit out of step with real situations. For example, is Afghanistan a failing state or a fragile state? or a failed state? I would think, were it not for the international troops' presence, it would be a failed state, and even now its a failing state. Yet, as you point out, it is considered a 'fragile state' here and elsewhere also.

Secondly, I would have to agree with you there, on the issue of Afghanistan and Haiti being mentioned, due to the presence of international security forces. I suspect the same, and while it seems very convenient and a tad myopic, its not surprising as money/forces/strategic interests dictate policy.

 


 
nazia hussain nazia hussain - 11 months ago

Great point about failed states you made. Should they be left to their own devices, or be helped as well, and if so, following such a paradigm as that followed in fragile states? You mention an interesting example in the case of Somalia. I have read in a few places that Somalia is/could be the next stop of Al-Qaeda fighters as it represents ungoverned spaces of the sort they have a thing for, to put it mildly.

Should failed states be helped?On a matter of principle, they should be aided, as their need is greater. As for the road map to fixing them, do these recommendations work or should their be something more radical, I think this roadmap offered for fragile states is radical in itself, as it has seriously ambitious goals and could be used for failed states as well, as the focus by policy makers seems to invest/transform ungoverned spaces. 

For the ambitious reach of such plans, e.g, read the goal to ' Transform competitive models of decision making into consensus-oriented ones-A continuous dialogue between authorities and local communities is needed to promote legitimacy and accountability, fight corruption and strengthen the social contract. Steps need to be taken to encourage people and communities to see their role in statebuilding and to take responsibility for generating positive change.Notice the words 'transform models of decision making', 'encouraging people to see their role in state building'. These are all good things, but I wonder how external actors could achieve these feats.

Does external intervention create more problems? I would think that some form of external intervention becomes necessary when states start falling apart, but as to the extent and nature of it, perhaps goals could be less grandiose, benchmarks more clear, and accountability of international actors also be a factor. International actors, with their experimentation need to be accountable to someone/something if they fail or make a bigger mess.


 
Michael Middleton Michael Middleton - 11 months ago

Hi Nazia and Michael, there is an interesting, possibly outdated, article written on failed state terminology written by Jean-Germain Gross titled, "Towards a taxonomy of failed states in the New World Order: decaying Somalia, Liberia, Rwanda and Haiti".  Unfortunately, I can't re-publish it on this site because of copyright issues but it is worth a look.  One of the most basic definitions of state failure is that it occurs when the basic functions of the state are no longer performed (rule of law, basic security ect).

To Michael's point about whether external interventions for the purposes of securing/stabilizing a failing state are effective; it's an interesting question.  The answer, I believe, is circumstantial and depends a lot on the country in question and the nature of the instability.  States with well developed institutions are much easier to pull back from the brink than under-developed states.  Providing security on foreign soil is a difficult task at the best of times, let alone trying to simultaneously construct a judiciary, finance department or basic state infrastructure.  This, among several other prominent factors, is why restabilizing Iraq has proven easier than Afghanistan.

On the other hand the argument has been made that the best thing for the international community to do is to "Give War a Chance" and allow conflict inspired state failure to occur, rather than prolong the process through intervention.  However, this may be less of an option since 9/11.  Thoughts?

 


 
Matthew Bondy Matthew Bondy - 11 months ago

Nazia,

Great entry. I am parrticularly taken with the idea of focusing on policing capacity over military capacity. The return-on-investment in policing, one assumes, has got to be somewhat greater than the ROI on military expenditures. (And, given that we're talking about failed/failing/fledgling states, here probably a lot less destablising to regional security dynamics.)

M


 
nazia hussain nazia hussain - 11 months ago

Thanks Mike for the useful link about the failed state terminology. Interesting idea of giving war a chance to allow conflict state inspired failure to occur. I fear though, in the situation when really unwholesome forces/groups gain victory over weaker ones, there doesnt seem to be a road map for that one. for instance, when Afghanistan was left on her own, and Taliban gained victory, no country recognized their rule. Seems a very risky option to me, to let the state collapse, but it is certainly an out-of-the-box idea.

Thanks Matt, yes, the policing idea is a catchy one, and certainly needed, to stabilize communities, control crime and build links between state and populace.


 
Michael Busch Michael Busch - 11 months ago

Hi everyone,

Great discussion!  To Mike Middleton's point about the variability of cases affecting appropriate responses, I think I may agree.  But the trouble then becomes one of determining by what general principles a la carte decision making for the purposes of intervention in failed states is made.  I worry that without a clear roadmap outlining possible actions for all possible cases, the trend of ignoring inconvenient or undesirable cases will continue, and that interventions--for whatever reasons--

On Iraq for a moment: Mike brings up a good point about the question of institutions.  Yet even in a case of well-developed sociopolitical institutions--like Iraq before the American invasion--foreign military presence seems to be the decisive factor in maintaining even a modicum of stability.  Tom Ricks' blog at Foreign Policy paints a vivid portrait of Iraq's "unravelling" as American forces begin to recede.  I suppose then that I am not fully convinced of this argument.  Perhaps we will have to wait and see what takes place once the US military leaves the country for good.  Or, it could be the case that the Americans effectively pulverized the previous institutions of Saddam Hussein's Iraqi state upon arrival (de-Baathification being one example).  

Thoughts? 


 
nazia hussain nazia hussain - 11 months ago

Hi Michael,

Thankyou for the comment. I agree with Mike's idea too, of variability of cases eliciting appropriate responses, but like you mentioned there ought to be general principles, which are there I believe, see for example, OECD's principles for Good International Engagement in Fragile States.Maybe the basic premise that state building can be done by external actors, is a grand objective, worthy, but,not entirely feasible? In case of Iraq, one, like you mentioned, it would have to be seen once the US military leaves for good, two, (as you aptly mention) with  the dismissal of the entire Baathist state, pre existing fault lines have come in view, vis-a-vis, socio-political/cultural forces. What is the endgame here though, to create a stable state/ peace loving populace, and how so and by whom? Any thoughts/ideas  would be welcome.


Would you like to comment?

You must be a member. Sign In if you are already a member.


Viewed 270 times