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nazia hussain

Update on Sharm-el-Sheikh declaration- cosmetic changes or shifting of sands?

By nazia hussain - 12 months ago

 

The progress since the Sharm-el-Sheikh declaration has been promising. Pakistan has showed responsibility by owning up that the Pakistan based group- Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) was involved in last year's Mumbai attack. For the first time, Pakistanis are being tried by the Pakistani judicial system for carrying out acts of terror on foreign soil. According to news reports, Pakistan handed over a dossier based on Pakistani investigation to India, that outlines the nature of training, finances and communication that proved LeT's role in Mumbai terror attack. Pakistan has arrested and charged five LeT commanders including Zakiur Rehman Lakhvi and Zarar Shah for planning the assault, while three other LeT activists have also been taken in custody. Ajmal Kasab, the only surviving gunman held in Indian custody had named Lakhvi, Zarar Shah and other LeT commanders for training and launching terrorists.

Action against LeT by Pakistan has been hailed by some to show Pakistan's determination to not allow its territory to be used for planning and launching terrorist attacks in the future. Bear in mind that LeT is no ordinary organization. Founded in 1993 and banned in 2002, LeT has been allegedly backed by the Inter Services Intelligence (ISI) of Pakistan.Apart from its profile as a dangerous organization with possible links to Al-Qaeda, LeT was considered a strategic asset of Pakistan for its support to Kashmiris against India. During the 1990s, analysts claim that LeT received instruction and financial support from ISI in exchange for a pledge to target Hindus in Kashmir and to train muslim extremists in India.

Now consider the Pakistani government's admission of LeT's role in Mumbai attack, and its decision to try the operatives in court. It certainly calls for giving kudos to the government and the army for taking the path less traveled by. The question posed by sceptics remains as to whether the entire LeT structure will be dismantled in letter and spirit, or is it giving in nominally, to the currents of inevitable change? Only time will tell. Furthermore, if Pakistan's security fears vis-a-vis India and Afghanistan are addressed, this one time grand move could be bolstered by institutionalized transparent responses to terrorism/terrorist outfits.

The response from India has been mould shattering in no uncertain terms also. The Indian Prime Minister's defense of his actions in Sharm-el-Sheikh in the parliament addressed challenges facing South Asia, as well as noting Pakistan's cooperation. He stated,

"We cannot wish away the fact that Pakistan is our neighbour. We should be good neighbours. if we live in peace, as good neighbours do, both of us can focus our energies on the many problems-our abject poverty that confront millions and millions of people in South Asia. If there is cooperation between us, and not conflict, vast opportunities will open up for trade, travel and development that will create prosperity in both countries...It is, therefore, in our vital interest to make sincere efforts to live in peace with Pakistan...

The Pakistan dossier states that the investigation has established beyond doubt that LeT activists conspired, financed and executed the attacks. Five of the accused have been arrested, including Zaki-ur-Rehman Lakhvi and Zarar Shah, and thirteen others have been declared proclaimed offenders. A charge sheet has since been filed against them under Pakistan's Anti Terrorism Act and other relevant laws. We have been told that the investigations are nearly complete and that the trial will now proceed. We have also been asked for some further information. We will provide this shortly.

This is the first time that Pakistan has ever formally briefed us on the results of an investigation into a terrorist attack in India. It has never happened before  and I repeat this is the first time. It is also the first time that they have admitted that their nationals and a terrorist organisation based in Pakistan carried out a ghastly terrorist act in India.

"We do not dilute our positions or our resolve to defeat terrorism by talking to any country. Other major powers affected by Pakistan based terrorism are also engaging with Pakistan. Unless we talk directly to Pakistan, we will have to rely on third parties to do so. That route, I submit to this August House, has very severe limitations as to its effectiveness, and for the longer term the involvement of foreign powers in South Asia is not something to our liking.. I say with strength and conviction that dialogue and engagement is the best way forward."

These are all signs of hope and good progress. What remains to be seen though is whether the idea of incubating armed non state actors as a line of defense against regional powers, including India is replaced by sustainable and constructive paradigms of security. History and experience have suggested that inevitably such non state actors turn the tables on their patrons, and create instability rather than stability. Furthermore, India would  have to eventually hold talks on Kashmir, as ignoring Kashmir would be equivalent to ignoring the elephant in the room. These actions require major investments in patience, proper work, and great vision. Let us see if this time India and Pakistan manage to salvage peace from the embers of distrust and move ahead, putting the past to rest, for the sake of the people of the region, who definitely deserve better than what they get now.

 

*(Flickr Image taken from appaji's photostream)

 

 

 

 

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7 Comments

 
Yamily Camacho Aburto Yamily Camacho Aburto - 12 months ago

Hello Nazia: I find this article very interesting. We all know that terrorism is again a main issue in the international agenda, especially since 2001, and it is always hopeful to learn that actions are being taken against this dangerous threat. It is very interesting to know that Pakistan and India could finally be on the path of reaching a peaceful understanding as neighbours. I find it confusing, though, that these Pakistan’s actions have followed Kasab’s confesions. So I can’t help but wonder……In your opinion, is the Pakistan’s government really interested in cooperating with India against terrorism, or was their positive response only triggered by Kasab’s full confession?


 
nazia hussain nazia hussain - 12 months ago

Thanks Yamily. Excellent point you raised here. To be honest, there is a lot of trust deficit regarding the Pakistani government when it comes to counter terrorism. However, with their military operations being carried out in Swat, Buner, and their admission of the role of LeT in Mumbai attacks, the government is trying its best to prove its seriousness in the war agaist terror. I dont think Kasab's confession was the only trigger though, I suspect other forces, notably US, at play here also. Also factor in the public support for action against Taliban as a result of the atmosphere of fear created by suicide attacks in the cities. As per your question of whether Kasab's full confession triggered their positive response, I would think, if I was in the government, I would think of ways too to make such a ghastly situation better, and make the best of it. But whatever the cause of such action, it has certainly been a welcome development.


 
uzair mehdi uzair mehdi - 12 months ago

Hello Nazia.Its much too early to say anything about the fate of those who are arrested.Well its simply beyond ones imagination that how few terrorists managed to enter India and left Pakistan while both sides are heavily spending on their defense systems and specially on thier navies to counter rising influence of China.It is extremely difficult to undrstand that how few were able to travel hundreds of nautical miles from Karachi to Mumbai at a stretch when its humanly impossible to travel on a launch for so much hours since it takes a toll on their health, even for a trained sailor.........

I think there is something beyond the characters : India and Pakistan.......


 
nazia hussain nazia hussain - 12 months ago

hi Uzair. Thank you for your comment. You have raised quite a few interesting points vis-a-vis the defence expenditures of both countries. Also, the fact that the handful of these operatives travelled seaward, over considerable amount of time, that takes even trained sailors some patience, skill and energy. This does indeed call for a detailed analysis, and were it not the nature of sensitive information, perhaps both countries could have been prevailed upon to disclose details of such a professional, heartless attack on human lives. I would like to turn it around, and highlight the need for countries to curtail such professional operatives who can hold populations hostage to their devilry. As to the point you raise about players other than India and Pakistan being involved, such an angle has been raised time and again, but usually discredited as conspiracy theory. While it might hold some grain of truth in it, it only further highlights how important peace is for both countries, so that the immense dynamic of South Asia can be used for constructive purposes, rather than fomenting instability.


 
uzair mehdi uzair mehdi - 12 months ago

Hello Nazia. I want to share apprehensions diffrent from what you are discussing. The rising influence of Uhigurs in the western province of China and their military adventurism must be a source of concern for Pakistan and for those who influence the foriegn policy of government. It has been found that Taliban who are housed in FATA ,are patronizing the militant outfits of Uhigurs, providing them much needed moral and military support. This notion gets its strength from a news that, back in 2004 when Pakistan Army started thier operation in South Waziristan and more specifically in Angoor Adda , some hardened Uhigur militants were killed and captured which at that time was enough to  pacify Chinese . Recently there have been reports that Uzbek militants under the leadership of Tahir Yaldashev , a head of a banned Uzbek organization living in South Waziristan is providing logistic support to Uhigurs of China, who get thier training in safe sanctuaries of Wana.This will isolate Pakistan completely from world since it will force China to take a jaundiced view of the region. This is something needs to be discussed when China is strengthening its bilateral relations with India and Russia and is looking for safe routes, for import of energy to fuel its economy.Remember that China is investing heavily in the oil rich provinces of Iran.  China cannot afford disturbances in regions which abut thier borders because this will prove detrimental for them in the wake of present economic depression when its GDP has come down from 9.6% to 7.6%, although it sounds still high but see it in comparison to its huge population.


 
Michael Middleton Michael Middleton - 12 months ago

Hi Nazia, excellent post on a really interesting topic. First, in terms of the belief that foreign states have been sponsoring instability, there seems to be little concrete evidence to support this claim. It is not unusual for terrorist groups to consort with one another; especially complex organizations such as LeT. For example LeT training facilities in Afghanistan trained would-be terrorists from around the world in explosives, strategy and combat, and, if I remember correctly, LeT actually learned explosives techniques from the IRA. I suspect that this is more a case of organizational cooperation rather than governmental meddling.

More generally, it should come to no one's surprise that LeT was responsible for the Mumbai bombings after all, they were also behind the 2000 Red Fort attack and the failed 2001 Parliamentary attack. I use the term "cautious" because we have been down this road before. After the 2001 attack India began saber ratteling and mobilized over 500,000 troops along the Pakistani border. The situation got so tense that the United States had step in and force Pakistan to take action against Lashkar. Over a two week period 3,300 LeT members were arrested but the next month over half of them were released including Amir Hafiz Mohammed Sayeed. So I guess time will tell if Pakistan is serious about taking down LeT this time. However, given that Pakistan itself has now become a prominent LeT target, the government of Pakistan now has a vested interest in cracking down.

 

 


 
Michael Middleton Michael Middleton - 12 months ago

My only concern is that has probably replaced Al Qaeda as the most prominent terrorist organization in the world. They are extremely well funded, have compounds in several different countries, are well trained and strategically complex. Furthermore, they enjoy a large amount of support within Pakistan where over 200,000 people have turned out to a single LeT rally. No doubt LeT will retaliate against the Pakistani government for this crackdown and I worry that they could make an already unstable situation worse. It also needs to be asked, how much violence is Pakistan willing to bear in order to defeat groups like Lashkar. Unfortunately, things are probably going to get a lot worse before they get better.


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