The United Nations Climate Change Conference will be held in Copenhagen on 7-18 December, 2009. This immediate conference was launched in Bail, December 2007, when all parties agreed on the Bail Action Plan - a two-year process leading to an agreed outcome on climate change action in Copenhagen.

However, it is better not to expect any real outcomes in the Copenhagen conference since the recently held negotiations on climate change in Barcelona indicate that there are still a number of inevitable blocks for this harsh negotiation on climate change.

The Kyoto Protocol sets commission for 37 industrial countries and the European community to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) with quantifiable tasks to reduce GHG emission. Developing countries called for developed countries to reduce its GHG emission by 40% in 2020, in relative to their emission levels in 1990. But Norway alone pledges to reduce emission by 40 per cent compared with 1990's. In contrast, 20-30% reduction for the EU, 25% for Japan, and the US only reduce GHG emission by 4% based on the 1990's level. Although the Kyoto Protocol is recognized as an important step towards a truly global emission reduction regime to stabilize GHG emission and provide prospective architecture for further international agreements, many developed countries tend to get rid of the old Kyoto Protocol to build a new framework so that their emission reduction task in the Kyoto protocol could be reset and the real reduction actions could be postponed. The EU, once an enthusiastic promoter of climate negotiations, even raises to repeal and abandon the old Kyoto Protocol. As the Copenhagen conference will take place soon, this disgusting proposal, by no means, is to set new obstacle for the negotiation.

Furthermore, who will pay for this huge reduction commission? The EU summit releases that developing countries need about 100 billion euros to reduce GHG emissions and adapt to climate change. Financing is essential, but developed countries are still unable to reach an agreement on their responsibility. The G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting on this 7^th also came to an end with brave declaration of taking actions on climate change threats, but no substantive financing scheme was proposed.

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barrios said in Washington on this 3^rd that it is hard for parties to reach a similar Kyoto Protocol in the Copenhagen conference, but the possibility of reaching a framework agreement still exists. Such an agreement will include a timetable for reducing emissions in developed countries and developing countries to address climate change.