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The Waterloo Room

Matthew Bondy

Biden calls Harper

By Matthew Bondy - 3 months ago

Having VP - not POTUS - call Harper is a deft move by Obama administration.

Late yesterday, US vice president Joseph R. Biden placed a call to Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper to inform his ally about US plans for Afghan policy.

In lieu of a call from Obama, Vice-President Joe Biden placed a call to Harper about the Afghan mission, a White House official told Canwest News Service.

Meantime, the leaders of France, the UK, Italy, Afghanistan and myriad other states received calls directly from POTUS.

What's the deal? Did Mr. Harper not merit a call from the president himself?

There are a few ways to look at this.

First, this could be a slight. It could be a poor decision by an administration which has made a habit out of mistreating its allies. (Damned-near insulting gifts to the UK prime minister, playing with Israeli-Palestinian policies willy-nilly and without resolve and firmness, screwing the Czechs and Poles out of the BMD system they were promised, implying Canada is soft on terror, etc.)

Second, it could be a pointed message that the US is not happy about Canada's firm refusal to commit to an extended combat role after 2011.

Third, it could be something different altogether, and I suspect it is.

Obama reportedly pressed all leaders with whom he spoke on the subject of enhancing their presence in Afghanistan. All other foreign leaders, reports indicate, were asked by the president to enhance their presence in Afghanistan as part of a revised coalition strategy to neutralise the threat posed by insurgents and terrorists in that region.

My guess is that the president directed VP Biden to call Canada as a means of achieving a few things. First, it would indicate to other countries that the US is grateful for the incredible work Canada has done in Afghanistan and the enormous sacrifice we've made there. It indicates that we will no longer be pressed to extend our stay in the combat zones.

Relatedly, having Biden call also lowers the profile of the telephone call and enables Mr. Harper to not have to field a fresh round of questions from reporters regarding the nature of a conversation he had with Mr. Obama. This protects the Canada-US relationship from some further public discussion about Canada's refusal to acquiesce to US requests on Afghanistan. It helps keep Afghanistan out of the Canadian news cycle, which helps Mr. Harper and the government he leads. This is courteous.

To me, having Biden call Mr. Harper instead of Mr. Obama calling himself signals the US administration's willingness to put this baby to bed and accept the fact that Canada has done its bit in Afghanistan and that we're going to absent ourselves from direct combat after 2011.

Deft move by the administration.

Labels: Diplomacy

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2 Comments

 
Michael Busch Michael Busch - 3 months ago

Hey Matt,

I like this take, but I have a question: if Obama himself is looking to get out around 2011, and if Canada is already supporting the United States until then with a robust presence, why not simply make the call himself (although I take your point about profile issues) and say thanks, here's the plan, and goodbye?

Also, can you speak a bit more about your feeling that it wasn't a slight?  And a larger query: did Biden call anyone else, and if so, who?  If this is an isolated case, then I would start wondering about the motivation, and I wouldn't assume the best...


 
Matthew Bondy Matthew Bondy - 3 months ago

Michael,

Thanks very much for the comment - much appreciated.

As to the first point - I think you put your finger on my response to the question. I think it was a professional political courtesy. Messrs Obama and Harper have been quite courteous toward one another in their professional capacities, and my view is that the President was hoping to dampen media interest in advancing the narrative of US-Canadian discord of Canada's future in Afghanistan. As you say, it could have been handled differently - and that probably would have been fine too. The 'courtesy' explanation is just a hunch I have, but it seems opportune and reasonable (just as does your alternative).

As to the second bit: the above, I think, basically explains why I don't think it's a slight. And as to the third part: I have not personally viewed reports suggesting that Mr. Biden made any other calls, as he did to Mr. Harper.

If you take from that that there was politically malign intent, that's reasonable enough. I suppose I would just say that based upon the evidence and the nature of US-Canadian political relationship since Mr. Obama's accession to the presidency, a more conciliar  explanation is probably reasonable.

Thanks again for the thoughtful comments!

M


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